A new Survey USA poll
has Barack Obama up 51%-43% in Missouri. Support in St Louis County has
solidified where Obama now leads by 22%. St Louis City and County and
the KC Metro area can carry the state for Obama if the margins are big
enough. Predicted turnout for St Louis County is 80%. Survey USA also polled for the Governor's race and the numbers continue to be great for Jay Nixon - he's up over Kenny Hulshof, 56-34.
Obama is winning in just about all segments:
SurveyUSA says three weeks ago, McCain held a 2-percentage point lead in the Show-Me State.
McCain is also losing ground to Obama in a number of voting
segments, including men (49-44), women (53-42), whites (47-47) and both
higher- and lower-income residents. Obama leads among AA voters by
In St. Louis, Obama's pushed his lead from 5% three weeks ago to 22% in the latest survey, which has a 4.3% margin of error.
In Missouri, John McCain's Lead Among White Voters Has Evaporated:
In an election for President of the United States in battleground
Missouri today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama has momentum and a meaningful advantage in SurveyUSA's latest tracking poll,
conducted for KMOX radio in St Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. The
contest in Missouri has swung 10-points to Obama since SurveyUSA's last
track point, 3 weeks ago. Then, McCain led by 2. Today, Obama leads,
51% to 43%. Among white voters, McCain had led by 11. Today,
tied. There is movement among men, where McCain had led, now trails;
among women, where McCain had been tied, now trails; among
higher-income voters, where McCain had led, now trails; and among
Independents, where McCain had led, now trails. In greater
St. Louis, Obama had led by 5, now by 22. In greater Kansas City, Obama
had led by 16, now by 31. George W. Bush carried Missouri by 7 points
in 2004, and by 3.5 points in 2000. The state has 11 electoral votes,
which are critical to any Republican who seeks the White House.